The growth trend continued with remarkable term-adjusted volumes across all markets, showing a YoY increase of 73.6%, with an average term-adjusted volume of EUR 335.4 billion. The GC Pooling market grew 109.6% (EUR 138.3 billion), and the Repo Market also experienced a substantial 55% surge (EUR 197.1 billion).
Outstanding volumes in July surged by an impressive 78.5% compared to the same period last year, reflecting the growing confidence of market participants in repo instruments for their funding, liquidity management and investment needs.
Market Insights: The average daily traded volumes more than doubled YoY, primarily driven by the robust performance of the GC Pooling market, which saw an astounding 295% increase. The Repo Market also continued its upward trajectory, growing by 28%.
On 27 July, the ECB's governing council raised main policy rates by 25 basis points. The deposit interest rate will be 3.75% effective from 2 August. This rate hike had been anticipated and was well-digested by the market.
Collateral and Spreads: Collateral remained fairly "cheap, "contributing to a tightening spread between the overnight GC Pooling EXT and the ECB basket. The spread reduced from an average of 5.35 bps in June to 2.7 bps in July. This trend was also evident in spreads against the €STR fixing, with the ECB basket averaging +3.8 bps compared to -0.8 bps in June and the EXT basket averaging +6.2 bps compared to 4.5 bps in June. Spreads against the ECB's deposit facility rate also tightened, with the ECB basket averaging -5.9 bps compared to -11 bps in June and the EXT basket averaging -3.6 bps compared to -5.7 bps in June.
Term Market Highlights: In the term markets, 12-month GC Pooling trading was observed between 3.89% and 4.01% in July, providing participants additional opportunities for longer-term funding and trading strategies.
Special Repo Activity: Special repo saw a strong increase in traded and term-adjusted volumes, growing by 54% compared to July 2022. This surge was primarily driven by a high number of large roll transactions and new business in the new ECB terms, covering the period from 2 August until 20 September 2023. Notably, most of these transactions involved Spanish government bonds but also included other EUR govs, supras and agencies.
Frank Gast - Managing Director, Member of the Management Board, Eurex Repo