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1月 25, 2023

Eurex Asia

【期货期权】欧洲基准股指期货换月展仓汇报

2022年十二月展仓统计数据
随着我们步入期货换月期的最后一周,我们想以基准股指期货为重点,展示当前十二月换月的统计数据。

本文以下内容的每个图表都包含一条实线,表示遠月持仓占總未平倉合約之比。虚线表示近十个换月的历史平均值,灰色区间带表示历史均值水平的一个标准差。


从上面的图表可以看出,展仓高峰通常若在季月份,当进入高峰的季月初期,STOXX欧元蓝筹50(EURO STOXX 50®)指数期货遠月份占總未平倉合約之比率较低(占約5%)。在展仓高峰月份的前两周,会员逐渐将未平倉量的30%转移到遠月。我们预计会员在到期前还会转移48%的頭寸。

这次,会员们在到期前八天才开始为STOXX欧元银行类股指(EURO STOXX® Banks)仓位进行展仓。截至周五,遠月的未平倉量占比累计为17%,本周预计还有59%的持仓将进行展仓。


与以往不同,STOXX®欧洲600股指期货展仓于到期前七个交易日开始。截至本周初,未平倉量的35%已经换月到后期,略低于历史平均值。我们预计本周大部分换月活动将完成。


上周SMI®瑞士股指期货的展仓活动平稳。本周开始时,未平倉量的30%被换月到后期,预计还将有41%近月合约持仓会进行转仓。


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