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Eurex | Eurex Clearing
The new 14th Global Risk Report deals with macro risks now developing and highlights the main dangers that could cause upheavals in world affairs in 2019 and over the next ten years. More than 90% of respondents expect economic confrontation/tension between major economic powers to increase further in 2019, and about the same number also expect multilateral trade rules and agreements to erode.
Volatility on the financial markets has increased and the global economy is under increasing pressure. Global growth seems to have peaked – the IMF's latest forecast sees a slowdown over the next few years. This is particularly true for the advanced economies, but also for China – from 6.6% growth in 2018 to 6.2% in 2019 and a forecast of 5.8% by 2022. All this is cause for concern. The same applies to global debt, which is significantly higher than before the global financial crisis.
In addition, political and economic tensions between the world's major powers are increasing. Trade and investment relations between many world powers were already difficult in 2018. The tension between the globalization of the world economy and the growing nationalism of world politics is an increasing risk.
What needs to be done? Are there solutions? Read the full 14th Global Risk Report.